Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111208 0.119299 0.127678 0.137006 0.147109 0.157725 0.169736
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.096430 0.108109 0.120810 0.135676 0.152631 0.171407 0.193825
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.086110 0.099409 0.114354 0.132445 0.153821 0.178356 0.208770
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.081269 0.096126 0.113282 0.134644 0.160647 0.191417 0.230803
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.075256 0.090832 0.109233 0.132695 0.161980 0.197545 0.244336
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070531 0.086669 0.106125 0.131461 0.163809 0.204024 0.258270
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065496 0.081759 0.101717 0.128198 0.162693 0.206482 0.266884
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061870 0.078375 0.098971 0.126783 0.163703 0.211506 0.278865
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.059308 0.076184 0.097577 0.126955 0.166665 0.219069 0.294447
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.056121 0.072998 0.094699 0.124954 0.166526 0.222345 0.304159
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053687 0.070675 0.092821 0.124149 0.167885 0.227604 0.316754
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.053111 0.070796 0.094179 0.127769 0.175449 0.241716 0.342579
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050799 0.068500 0.092217 0.126771 0.176587 0.246981 0.356093
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048566 0.066222 0.090182 0.125575 0.177377 0.251768 0.369154
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045921 0.063249 0.087035 0.122612 0.175404 0.252342 0.375749
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.045056 0.062745 0.087338 0.124629 0.180810 0.264038 0.399988
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.043079 0.060563 0.085136 0.122841 0.180397 0.266878 0.410397
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041429 0.058784 0.083439 0.121710 0.180891 0.271068 0.423090
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039347 0.056293 0.080596 0.118718 0.178354 0.270377 0.427729
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037865 0.054633 0.078918 0.117420 0.178377 0.273672 0.439036
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036863 0.053652 0.078210 0.117577 0.180678 0.280662 0.456833
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035392 0.051908 0.076283 0.115742 0.179688 0.282240 0.465427
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034282 0.050674 0.075087 0.115003 0.180423 0.286642 0.479073